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In recent times, mRNA COVID-19 vaccines have taken center stage in the global fight against the pandemic. However, claims have emerged suggesting that these vaccines may have had a significant impact on public health. In this article, we will delve into the latest data and findings regarding the safety and efficacy of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines, addressing the claims made by data analyst Steve Kirsch. Let's explore the facts and consider the implications.

Unpacking the Data

Steve Kirsch, an MIT graduate and founder of the Vaccine Safety Research Foundation, has brought forward a bold assertion. He claims that experimental mRNA COVID-19 vaccines may have caused "3.5 times more American deaths" than the virus itself. Kirsch's confidence in this assertion is so strong that he is willing to bet $1 million on it. But before we jump to any conclusions, let's analyze the data and see what it truly reveals.

The Study and Findings

Kirsch's claim was a response to a study by MSU Professor Mark Skidmore, whose peer-reviewed paper suggested that 217,000 Americans died in 2021 alone due to the COVID mRNA vaccines. Kirsch, in his own study, surveyed over 10,000 Americans to arrive at a different perspective. He asserts that his study's results, methodology, and survey underwent rigorous review by expert statisticians and epidemiologists, none of whom detected any errors.

In Kirsch's survey, the analysis of the first 9,620 individuals found 804 deaths from COVID-19 and 2,830 deaths from the vaccine. It's important to note that these results were generated from a minimum of 108,000 people covered by the survey, as some extended families exceeded 25 individuals. While the survey didn't account for the age of each family member, it primarily focused on the ratio of COVID deaths to vaccine deaths in the extended family, excluding the immediate household. This approach aimed to reduce bias, considering that most respondents didn't vaccinate themselves or their immediate household members. Consequently, the ratio of vaccine deaths to COVID deaths in the household statistics was lower.

The Ratio: 3.5 Times More

Kirsch's assertion that the vaccines have caused "3.5 times more American deaths" than the virus itself is primarily based on a straightforward calculation: 2,830 vaccine deaths divided by 804 COVID deaths equals 3.5 times more vaccine-related deaths. This ratio has raised concerns, but it's essential to remember that the interpretation of data and statistics can be complex and is often subject to debate. As we consider this claim, it's crucial to scrutinize the methodology, the data collection process, and the experts involved in the analysis.

The Call for Independent Validation

In the spirit of transparency and accountability, Kirsch invites so-called "fact checkers" to independently verify his findings. He is willing to have each entry validated directly with the submitters, subject to their consent. However, he emphasizes that those who wish to validate the data should be ready to publish their findings. This is a step towards ensuring that the data is rigorously examined and that the truth is revealed to the public.


In the ongoing global battle against COVID-19, the role of vaccines in public health is a subject of immense importance. Claims suggesting that mRNA COVID-19 vaccines have resulted in more deaths than the virus itself have sparked a contentious debate. As responsible citizens, it's crucial that we stay informed and encourage open dialogue on such matters. Independent validation and further research may be necessary to determine the veracity of these claims. In the meantime, it is imperative that we continue to follow the guidance of public health authorities and rely on peer-reviewed studies to make informed decisions about vaccination. The safety and well-being of the public must remain our top priority.

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